source: Qiu Yu, a journalist from China News Network)

The first oil price adjustment window will open in January 12th at 24 in 2018. The agency forecasts that oil prices will rise, and more refined oil retail prices will set a new high in nearly three years.

According to the data of long Zhong information measurement, as of January 10th, the comprehensive change rate of crude oil was 5.25%, and the corresponding increase was expected to be 155 yuan / ton. According to information compiled by Zhuo Chuang, the price adjustment window will be up to 180 yuan per ton on the opening day of the price adjustment window.

Zhuo Chuang pointed out that after the price adjustment, most of the gasoline and diesel retail prices in most parts of the country set the highest value in nearly three years.

At present, taking Beijing as an example, the price of gasoline No. 92 and No. 95 of CNPC and Sinopec gas stations is 6.84 yuan / liter and 7.28 yuan / liter respectively.

"This has been a high price," Li Yan, an information oil analyst, told reporters that the recent preferential policy changes in the gas station are not large, and the preferential margin of the Sinopec and other main stations is about 0.5-0.7 yuan / liter, while the preferential range of private gas stations is more than 0.5-1.2 yuan / liter.

Behind the price rise: international oil prices have risen to nearly three years.

According to the "oil price management measures", the highest retail price of domestic gasoline and diesel is linked to international oil prices.

During the valuation cycle, international crude oil prices rose sharply. Wang Luqing, an analyst at the product oil of Zhuo Chuang, said in an interview with the China new network reporter that the rise in international oil prices was mainly affected by both the decline in US crude oil production and inventory data and the tension in the Iran region.

As of January 10th, the US WTI crude oil futures rose 0.61 U.S. dollars to 63.57 U.S. dollars / barrel. Brent crude oil futures rose 0.38 U.S. dollars to 69.20 U.S. dollars / barrel.

International crude oil prices suffered a downward trend in the second half of 2014, falling from $more than 100 to around $50. Since the second half of 2017, international oil prices have continued to rise and hit a new high of nearly three years.

"The high price of international crude oil is mainly due to the implementation of OPEC's policy of reducing production, the continued decline of crude oil stock and the gradual recovery of the global oil supply and demand relationship." Wang Luqing said.

The research report also pointed out that the demand for crude oil will pick up steadily in 2018, and will not be affected by new energy replacement factors for the time being, at the same time, the supply of crude oil is limited, or the supply and demand balance is realized.

"In the next few years, it will be hard to see that the international crude oil price has fallen below 40 US dollars / barrel, and the era of low oil price has come to an end." Li Yan said.

Information source: China News Network